Indicator C2 — Awards Very Close to the Budget Ceiling

AI-verified / Na-verify ng AI Data as of October 21, 2026

Awards Very Close to the Budget Ceiling

Contract cost is at or above 99.5% of ABC from Sumbong.

This is a statistical anomaly or indicator worth examining — not proof of wrongdoing, fraud, or corruption against any person.

Indicator: contract 22CI0006 was awarded at 100.00% of its ABC. Across its 26 recorded contracts, M C J VALENZUELA CONST ENT was awarded at ≥99.5% of ABC 24 times (92.3%), versus 70.4% for flood-control contracts overall. This could be due to highly competitive bidding or precise cost estimation.

Public record entityConstruction of Concrete Slope Protection Structure along Sapangbalen Creek, Station 12+768 to Station 14+587 (R/D), Barangay Paralayunan, Mabalacat City, Pampanga

LocationMABALACAT CITY (PAMPANGA), PAMPANGA, Region IIIContract 22CI0006

Amount₱48,993,897.23100.00% of approved budget (ABC) sumbong source

Only contractors and government agencies named in public procurement records are shown. Private individuals are not named.

Satellite before / after

Esri Wayback · ~0.46 mLocation unverified

Before capture: 2021-10-29 · Maxar

After capture: 2025-11-18 · Vantor

Satellite comparison for public reference — not proof of completion or non-completion.

Imagery may not show small or linear works; no visible change is not evidence of wrongdoing.

Imagery © Esri, Maxar, Earthstar Geographics, and the GIS User Community

Caveats & resolution

Esri World Imagery Wayback (~0.5–1 m); dates are archive release dates, not capture timestamps.
Imagery may not show small or linear works; no visible change is not evidence of wrongdoing.
DPWH coordinates can be approximate; marker shows the imagery center (may be snapped to riverbank/coast).

Disclaimer

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How this was checked

publish · confidence 0.98

Model: gpt-4.1

Prompt: v4

Checked: October 22, 2026

The contract was awarded at exactly 100% of the ABC, which is highly unusual and meets the rule's threshold. The contractor has a much higher rate of near-ABC awards than the baseline, and all relevant figures and record links are present. Innocent explanations (such as competitive bidding or precise cost estimation) are plausible but do not negate the anomaly.

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Project completion

Schedule fields from DPWH transparency portal records and the Sumbong sa Pangulo flood-control list — not inferred beyond those columns.

Reported complete (DPWH): 1Ongoing: 0Delayed: 0Status unknown: 0

Project	Prog.	Target end	Actual end	Days late	Status
Construction of Concrete Slope Protection Structure along Sapangbalen Creek, Station 12+768 to Station 14+587 (R/D), Barangay Paralayunan, Mabalacat City, Pampanga22CI0006	100%	August 6, 2022	August 6, 2022	—	completedsumbong source

Start: February 8, 2022 · Source fetched October 21, 2026

Rule Definition

ContractCost / ABC ≥ 0.995 using metadata.abc and contract cost fields.

Triggering Data & citations

Contract cost is at or above 99.5% of approved budget for contract (ABC)

{
  "deo": "Pampanga 3rd District Engineering Office",
  "ratio": 0.9999941117502871,
  "abcPhp": 48994185.72,
  "threshold": 0.995,
  "contractId": "22CI0006",
  "contractor": "M C J VALENZUELA CONST ENT",
  "contractCostPhp": 48993897.23
}

Source documents

sumbong — https://raw.githubusercontent.com/rukku/sumbongsapangulo.ph-datasets/main/flood_control_projects.geojsonFetched October 21, 2026

Possible Innocent Explanations

Accurate cost estimating
Single qualified bid at market rate
ABC set equal to engineer’s estimate
This could be due to highly competitive bidding or precise cost estimation.