Indicator C5 — Pattern Consistent with Contract Splitting

AI-verified / Na-verify ng AI Data as of October 21, 2026

Pattern Consistent with Contract Splitting

Multiple similar contracts to the same contractor/DEO just under a threshold in a short window.

This is a statistical anomaly or indicator worth examining — not proof of wrongdoing, fraud, or corruption against any person.

Indicator: 19 contracts awarded to ST TIMOTHY CONST CORP by the same office started within 96 days, each between ₱42.5M and ₱50M (just under the ₱50M threshold), with 9 in the same municipality. It is possible that the projects were planned separately for different locations as part of a coordinated flood control program.

Public record entityConstruction of Gucab - Demet Flood Control, La Paz, Abra

LocationABRA, Cordillera Administrative RegionContract 21PA0220

Amount₱48,997,500.00 sumbong source

Only contractors and government agencies named in public procurement records are shown. Private individuals are not named.

Satellite before / after

Esri Wayback · ~0.5 mLocation approximate

Before capture: 2020-01-14 · Maxar

After capture: 2025-06-08 · Vantor

Satellite comparison for public reference — not proof of completion or non-completion.

Imagery may not show small or linear works; no visible change is not evidence of wrongdoing.

Imagery © Esri, Maxar, Earthstar Geographics, and the GIS User Community

Caveats & resolution

Esri World Imagery Wayback (~0.5–1 m); dates are archive release dates, not capture timestamps.
Imagery may not show small or linear works; no visible change is not evidence of wrongdoing.
DPWH coordinates can be approximate; marker shows the imagery center (may be snapped to riverbank/coast).

Disclaimer

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How this was checked

publish · confidence 0.98

Model: gpt-4.1

Prompt: v4

Checked: October 22, 2026

This is a textbook C5 indicator: 19 contracts, all just under the ₱50M threshold, awarded to the same contractor by the same DEO within 96 days, with 9 in the same municipality. The titles clearly refer to different flood control structures in different barangays/municipalities, as expected for C5. The code already confirmed the cluster math and thresholds. There is no evidence of a data artifact.

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Project completion

Schedule fields from DPWH transparency portal records and the Sumbong sa Pangulo flood-control list — not inferred beyond those columns.

Reported complete (DPWH): 1Ongoing: 0Delayed: 0Status unknown: 0

Project	Prog.	Target end	Actual end	Days late	Status
Construction of Gucab - Demet Flood Control, La Paz, Abra21PA0220Flood control	100%	July 21, 2022	July 12, 2022	—	completedsumbong source

Start: January 7, 2022 · Source fetched October 21, 2026

Rule Definition

≥3 contracts within 120 days, each 85–100% of ₱50M threshold, similar titles.

Triggering Data & citations

Cluster of contracts just under procurement threshold with similar scope

{
  "deo": "Abra District Engineering Office",
  "contractId": "21PA0220",
  "contractor": "ST TIMOTHY CONST CORP",
  "windowDays": 120,
  "clusterSize": 19,
  "thresholdPhp": 50000000,
  "contractCostPhp": 48997500,
  "averageTitleSimilarity": 0.8641703903410409
}

Source documents

sumbong — https://raw.githubusercontent.com/rukku/sumbongsapangulo.ph-datasets/main/flood_control_projects.geojsonFetched October 21, 2026

Possible Innocent Explanations

Legitimate multi-lot procurement
Different sites under same program