Indicator C2 — Awards Very Close to the Budget Ceiling

AI-verified / Na-verify ng AI Data as of October 21, 2026

Awards Very Close to the Budget Ceiling

Contract cost is at or above 99.5% of ABC from Sumbong.

This is a statistical anomaly or indicator worth examining — not proof of wrongdoing, fraud, or corruption against any person.

Indicator: contract 24AF0121 was awarded at 99.99% of its ABC. Across its 16 recorded contracts, UNIVERSAL DE LEON CONST AND AGGREGATES was awarded at ≥99.5% of ABC 16 times (100.0%), versus 70.4% for flood-control contracts overall. Contractors may consistently bid near the ABC to remain competitive without exceeding the legal limit.

Public record entityConstruction of Flood Control structure along Bauang River Basin (Package 5), Naguilian, La Union

LocationNAGUILIAN (LA UNION), LA UNION, Region IContract 24AF0121

Amount₱94,561,136.1999.99% of approved budget (ABC) sumbong source

Only contractors and government agencies named in public procurement records are shown. Private individuals are not named.

Satellite before / after

Esri Wayback · ~0.5 mLocation approximate

Before capture: 2023-03-23 · Maxar

After capture: 2025-02-02 · Vantor

No post-completion imagery yet — the newest available capture predates the reported completion date.

Satellite comparison for public reference — not proof of completion or non-completion.

Imagery may not show small or linear works; no visible change is not evidence of wrongdoing.

Imagery © Esri, Maxar, Earthstar Geographics, and the GIS User Community

Caveats & resolution

Esri World Imagery Wayback (~0.5–1 m); dates are archive release dates, not capture timestamps.
Imagery may not show small or linear works; no visible change is not evidence of wrongdoing.
DPWH coordinates can be approximate; marker shows the imagery center (may be snapped to riverbank/coast).

Disclaimer

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How this was checked

publish · confidence 0.98

Model: gpt-4.1

Prompt: v4

Checked: October 22, 2026

The contract was awarded at 99.99% of its ABC, which is highly unusual and well above the 99.5% threshold. The contractor has a perfect record (16/16) of winning contracts at or above this threshold, which is much higher than the baseline for flood-control contracts (70.4%). All relevant figures and source links are present, and the evidence is sufficient for public review.

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Project completion

Schedule fields from DPWH transparency portal records and the Sumbong sa Pangulo flood-control list — not inferred beyond those columns.

Reported complete (DPWH): 1Ongoing: 0Delayed: 0Status unknown: 0

Project	Prog.	Target end	Actual end	Days late	Status
Construction of Flood Control structure along Bauang River Basin (Package 5), Naguilian, La Union24AF0121Flood control	100%	January 14, 2025	March 16, 2025	—	completedsumbong source

Start: April 18, 2024 · Source fetched October 21, 2026

Rule Definition

ContractCost / ABC ≥ 0.995 using metadata.abc and contract cost fields.

Triggering Data & citations

Contract cost is at or above 99.5% of approved budget for contract (ABC)

{
  "deo": "La Union 2nd District Engineering Office",
  "ratio": 0.9999062870875612,
  "abcPhp": 94569998.62,
  "threshold": 0.995,
  "contractId": "24AF0121",
  "contractor": "UNIVERSAL DE LEON CONST AND AGGREGATES",
  "contractCostPhp": 94561136.19
}

Source documents

sumbong — https://raw.githubusercontent.com/rukku/sumbongsapangulo.ph-datasets/main/flood_control_projects.geojsonFetched October 21, 2026

Possible Innocent Explanations

Accurate cost estimating
Single qualified bid at market rate
ABC set equal to engineer’s estimate